This just in: QB Andrew Luck is pretty good. In leagues that penalize for turnovers Luck’s 2012 rookie season in fantasy was a little underwhelming compared to his hype. If you assume with another year in the offseason, and Indy’s attempt to rebuild a below average OL that Luck’s turnovers will drop – then you have to be excited about his top 10 potential for 2013. He absolutely looked the part in this game he was 9 of 13 (with a few bad drops in there by his targets) for 107 and 2 Td’s. It should be noted that one of his TD passes was a ball that CB Aaron Ross batted up in the air and should’ve had an INT on- but that happened b/c the Giants pass rush clobbered Luck as he was throwing.
I don’t know what’s wrong with TE Coby Fleener, but I’m beginning to think he should give about half his paycheck to Luck every year for getting him drafted so high. They either don’t game plan for him, or he’s below average at getting open – and I’m starting to think it’s a lot of the latter. He dropped the only target I saw and was held off the stat sheet.
Don’t look now but WR Darius Heyward-Bay may be coming back to life. Right now the Colts are using him a lot in that intermediate depth outside the lines type of passing game (WR screens, curl routes at the marker), and it’s clear his new home has done wonders for his confidence. I don’t know if Bay becomes a guy you draft late, or whether you wait and watch waivers…but our own Tim Brown believes he’s worth taking a flyer on, as potentially a WR 4.
RB Ahmad Bradshaw is becoming a popular “sleeper” pick with drafters, but he once again did not play in this one. It was all about his homecoming to NY and he left it at that. Bradshaw concerns me from a health standpoint, Vick Ballard is not really a threat to him – but his own health is very much a problem. In standard 12 team redraft leagues I want no part of him before the 7th round.
I’m coming around a little bit on RB David Wilson. I don’t think he has RB1 potential, and I do think that RB Andre Brown is a better football player…but it’s clear the Giants want to use this guy. He had some excellent vision on some runs, but the other side of that is that he’s not going to move many piles. Wilson has RB2 written all over him, and that’s perfectly fine for his current ADP of round 5 or 6.
Wilson’s whole situation with Andre Brown baffles me. It’s like opposite day. Wilson is the smaller, faster guy who catches passes – and yet he gets the early down work. Andre Brown the larger, tougher runner (not without his own speed) is in on 3rd downs b/c apparently David Wilson can’t learn how to blitz pickup. The only time it “felt right” to me in this game was when they asked Andre Brown to try a 4th and short pickup – and he failed at that.
Wilson finished with 8 carries for 34 yards, but 21 of them came on one carry. Andre Brown finished with 8 carries for 36 yards – so? 50/50.
Wilson will lead this running back committee b/c Andre Brown is a square peg running back in a round hole Giants pass 1st philosophy. The days of Big Blue hammering it between the tackles is gone, and while Wilson is not a great all-around RB, he is clearly the guy that fits the philosophy. The only x-factor for Brown’s value will be goaline carries – and I don’t think we can assume he will get all of them.
More opposite day in this one: WR Hakeem Nicks’ 2 grabs for 40 yards stat sheet looks impressive…and it is encouraging. But there’s no doubt Nicks is not 100% healthy – you can see him dragging his feet a little and looking sluggish as he rehabs – to me that’s a bigger concern for a guy who’s hurt every season, than say WR Victor Cruz’s ankle injury which got all the press.
Cruz will be fine and he’s the WR to own from the Giants – again not b/c his talent is overwhelming, but b/c of his rapport in the offense and his (relative) health. Panic not G-men fans: Cruz will be ok.